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Bybit and FXStreet have released a new joint report predicting that gold could climb to $4,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, citing a powerful combination of macroeconomic stressors, technical strength, and investor flight from traditional markets.
The report follows gold’s surge to an all-time high of around $3,500 per ounce last month, marking a 26% gain year-to-date and a 41% increase over the past year, a stark contrast to the S&P 500’s 11% decline over the same period.
The report emphasizes that safe-haven demand is intensifying.
Investors are reacting to persistent inflation, a weakening US dollar, and the erosion of real returns in equity and bond markets.
Gold’s historic role as a hedge against currency devaluation has regained prominence, particularly as central banks and private investors look for protection amid fiat volatility.
The renewed rally is also being shaped by tariff-related fears stemming from the Trump administration’s trade policies.
The return of aggressive US trade measures has rattled global markets.
The report added:
The uncertainty surrounding tariffs has prompted investors to seek refuge in gold, considered the “global currency” during times of economic
disruption.
The report notes that capital is being redirected away from vulnerable currencies like the euro, yen, yuan, and peso into gold reserves, as political neutrality and liquidity make the metal a preferred reserve asset.
From a market structure perspective, gold remains firmly in bullish territory.
The MACD remains positive, and the 12-day moving average continues to lead the 26-day, confirming upward momentum.
Meanwhile, the RSI at 60 indicates strength without breaching overbought conditions.
Analysts expect gold to test and consolidate around $3,500, the current resistance zone, before targeting the next milestone at $4,000 per ounce by year-end, provided that macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions remain supportive.
The report also highlights silver as a compelling diversification play.
Despite lagging gold, silver is well below its 2011 high of $50 per ounce and stands to benefit from both safe-haven inflows and industrial demand, particularly as green energy and infrastructure projects gather pace.
As momentum builds, both gold and silver are reasserting themselves as essential components of a diversified portfolio in 2025, the report added.
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